Advisory: Airfare offers are coming up. Be prepared!

In the beginning of this month, we wrote a post on an experimental estimation method for predicting the timing of airfare offers. According to the post, we mentioned that there wouldn’t be an airfare offer in the month of September. And this has been proven right so far.

When is the airfare offer expected?

We had also estimated that the sale period would start around 3rd October 2017. However, given that Dussehra falls on 30th September this year, there is a fair chance that the sale will be declared a bit earlier than what we had previously expected. We are now estimating the earliest start date of the sale to be around 26th September (coming Tuesday). There will definitely be an offer available before 6th October.

What are the travel dates for the offer?

As mentioned in the previous post, the upcoming sale may have very little to do with flights taking off in the month of October. Flights for almost all of the days of November until mid December are the ones expected to be going on sale in the upcoming offer.

How to get the airfare offer details?

As has always been the case, we will send out an email notification to all the users of Unfare as soon as we find an offer available in the market. So if you have not yet created a free account, do create one here so that you don’t miss out on these airfare offer notifications.

Flight booking Advisory: Airfares entering a period of higher prices. Avoid booking now!

The Unfare algorithm has spotted a trend of airfare hikes across multiple routes in India and hence we are issuing this flight booking advisory. Across airlines, the airfares are entering a period of high prices. Given that we have seen quite a lot of discount sale in the last couple of months, we expect all airlines to gradually raise prices. If you have more than 45 days for your flight, we recommend that you avoid booking during this period.

Why does this happen?

Airlines are here to make profit and hence a period of lower fares (like we saw last month) will be followed by a period of higher fares so as to make up for the lost revenue during the discount period. Hence this is a regular cycle that we are aware of. The previous such period happened last week but ended quickly because of the SpiceJet offer.

How long would be this period?

While we can’t put a definitive time period to it, if all the airlines cooperate with each other, it could last even 3-4 weeks. If even one airline breaks away from the rest and starts a discount sale, others will follow and this high fare period ends.

Does it involve all airlines?

At the moment we see all airlines in a period of high fares. Check our UnfareScore page for more details.

Does it involve all routes?

Not really. There are exceptions. To find out, search for your domestic route in our app. And look under the “Airline tips” section (screenshot below shows Delhi – Mumbai route).

How do I know about any change in flight booking advisory?

As soon as we spot an airfare offer, we will send the email alerts on the offer to all our users. Do sign-up for a free account to receive these email alerts.

Flight booking Advisory: Airfares entering a period of higher prices. Avoid booking now!

The Unfare algorithm has spotted a trend of airfare hikes across multiple routes in India and hence we are issuing this flight booking advisory. Across airlines, the airfares are entering a period of high prices. Given that we have seen quite a lot of discount sale in the last couple of months, we expect all airlines to gradually raise prices. If you have more than 45 days for your flight, we recommend that you avoid booking during this period.

Why does this happen?

Airlines are here to make profit and hence a period of lower fares (like we saw last month) will be followed by a period of higher fares so as to make up for the lost revenue during the discount period. Hence this is a regular cycle that we are aware of. The previous such period happened in mid-November last year.

How long would be this period?

While we can’t put a definitive time period to it, if all the airlines cooperate with each other, it could last 3-4 weeks. If even one airline breaks away from the rest and starts a discount sale, others will follow and this high fare period ends.

Does it involve all airlines?

At the moment we see only AirIndia with a lower UnfareScore at 41.8. All the other airlines are in a period of high fares. Check our UnfareScore page for more details.

Does it involve all routes?

Not really. There are exceptions. To find out, search for your domestic route in our app. And look under the “Airline tips” section (screenshot below shows Mumbai – Bhubaneswar route).
Unfare tips

How do I know about any change in flight booking advisory?

As soon as we spot an airfare offer, we will send the email alerts on the offer to all our users. Do sign-up for a free account to receive these email alerts.

UPDATE: Read more about how this ended here: SpiceJet Offer

Should you wait till noon before you book an air ticket that is not on sale?

Airlines compete with each other for market share and revenue and hence it is only natural for them to adjust their prices based on their competitors’.

SpiceJet offer on Feb 1st:

On the 1st of February 2017, SpiceJet started a fare sale with tickets starting Rs. 888. Even though it came as a surprise to our fare sale prediction algorithm, it was a genuine offer when compared to the pre-sale prices as we discussed in our SpiceJet offer analysis post. Somewhere before noon on the 1st Feb, Indigo too matched the sale and came up with its own Rs. 888 offer. Had you booked an Indigo flight early morning on 1st Feb, you would have missed out on the sale!

SpiceJet offers extension:

The SpiceJet fare sale was initially set to end on 5th Feb 2017. On 6th Feb morning, Indigo pulled up its fares to pre-offer levels but SpiceJet extended its offer till 7th Feb 2017. Once again, Indigo reacted to this offer extension by pulling down the fares and extending its earlier offer of Rs. 888 sometime before noon yesterday. Again, just like the case on 1st Feb, had you booked an Indigo flight early morning on 6th Feb, you would have missed out on the sale extension!

Remember, Indigo was on a sale from 26th to 29th Jan 2017. SpiceJet during this period was on a low fare band but not on an announced fare sale.

Our take on this trend:

Any time you observe a fare sale by a particular airline, it is prudent to expect a reactionary sale from the competitors. So if you are booking a flight that is currently not on offer (because say, the route that you want to fly is not serviced by the airline that is on offer), it is good to just wait till noon to check if your airline does a reactionary price drop.

Remember, this will be applicable only during 1st or 2nd day of an offer by any airline. Beyond the 2nd day, you may accept that the airline of your choice has taken a decision not to match the offer in the market. Also, if you are booking a flight on an airline that is on sale, there is no better time than early morning!

Never miss out on an offer!

If you want to receive email alerts on new airline offers, do create a free account with us at http://unfare.in/login. Cheers to the low fares!

 

How to predict an airfare sale in India

All days are created equal. But some are more equal that others.

Have you noticed that booking a flight ticket on some days are better than others? Airlines come up with airfare sales at seemingly random intervals. But what if I told you that a great sale can be predicted?

Booking ahead may not always be the smartest option:

Let’s say, you have planned a trip and are to fly in about 3 months time. When you go to book your flight, how do you know you are getting the lowest fares? Even though you are searching for an advance purchase, the airline may be in a period of high fares before going into an airfare sale. You could actually lose out by booking ahead, only to find that a week later, the airline has declared an airfare sale!

Finding the better days to book your flight:

In order to determine how good or bad the airfare is for any given day, you need to know where the airfare stands against the scale of low airfares for that airline. I know, not an easy task to track so many airfares, is it?

Introducing UnfareScore:

UnfareScore is a dynamic index with a scale of 0-100. For any given airline, a score of below 50, signifies a good deal. Anything above 50, indicated that you should consider waiting for the airfare sale. Of course, this only applies when you have at least 45 days to your flight. Also, for specific airfare predictions, you can use the Unfare prediction tool.

UnfareScore is a free feature of Unfare that also provides details on how many days it has been since the last airfare sale, average number of days for an airfare sale, etc. Do check it out today!

UnfareScore